Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Schwartz 47.9% (+3.5%)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 86.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 86.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 50.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Ryan
Schwartz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Schwartz
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
41.9% (62)
+9.0%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
52.2% (90)
+22.8%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
0.0% (5)
+45.3%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +45.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schwartz shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Ryan shoots right. Schwartz is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Ryan
Schwartz
Home
53.7% (214)
50.6% (79)
Away
46.4% (220)
42.3% (78)
By Period
Ryan
Schwartz
P1
45.0%
36.2%
P2
50.0%
44.4%
P3
54.6%
60.9%
Final 5 min
45.3%
32.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
46.5%