Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Benn 59.1% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 89.3%
Defensive zone
Ryan 69.1%
Neutral zone
Benn 67.0%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Ryan
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Ryan
Benn
Last 7: Ryan 4-3 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Benn
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Benn
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Ryan
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
61.8% (584)
-10.9%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
56.7% (224)
+18.3%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
56.1% (57)
-10.8%
On power play, Ryan has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Ryan shoots right. Benn is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Ryan
Benn
Home
53.7% (214)
64.4% (433)
Away
46.4% (220)
55.8% (432)
By Period
Ryan
Benn
P1
45.0%
61.8%
P2
50.0%
59.6%
P3
54.6%
59.2%
Final 5 min
45.3%
62.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 18:21 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 13:54 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 13:30 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 03:48 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |