Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Benn 52.9% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 19-11 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 76.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 64.4%
Neutral zone
Benn 53.4%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Ryan
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
19
(30 meetings)
11
19
Ryan
Benn
Last 10: Ryan 6-4 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
5
10
Ryan
Benn
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
4
5
Ryan
Benn
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
2
4
Ryan
Benn
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
53.5% (6,450)
+3.1%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
52.5% (2,054)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
49.3% (515)
-1.5%
On even strength, Ryan has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Benn is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,766).
Home / Away
Ryan
Benn
Home
56.2% (2,559)
54.9% (4,547)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
51.0% (4,488)
By Period
Ryan
Benn
P1
55.1%
51.9%
P2
54.7%
52.6%
P3
56.0%
54.0%
OT
58.3%
62.4%
Final 5 min
52.5%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:01 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 2 | 02:18 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 1 | 02:27 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:25 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 15:45 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 18:21 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 13:54 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 13:30 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 03:48 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:39 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 02:20 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 1 | 10:00 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |