Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Benn 59.9% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 88.2%
Defensive zone
Ryan 82.4%
Neutral zone
Benn 53.7%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Ryan
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Ryan
Benn
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Benn
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Benn
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
62.6% (479)
-1.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
58.4% (190)
+41.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
58.1% (43)
-11.9%
On power play, Ryan has a +41.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Ryan shoots right. Benn is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Home / Away
Ryan
Benn
Home
56.7% (201)
60.5% (349)
Away
54.8% (208)
62.0% (363)
By Period
Ryan
Benn
P1
56.7%
60.8%
P2
56.8%
60.1%
P3
53.7%
62.4%
Final 5 min
56.1%
62.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
61.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:25 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 15:45 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |