Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Benn 55.0% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 80.3%
Defensive zone
Ryan 68.2%
Neutral zone
Benn 52.1%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Ryan
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Ryan
Benn
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Ryan
Benn
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Benn
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
55.9% (365)
+5.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
56.8% (132)
+43.2%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
53.1% (32)
-1.4%
On power play, Ryan has a +43.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Ryan shoots right. Benn is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Ryan
Benn
Home
64.2% (137)
57.3% (267)
Away
55.8% (113)
54.6% (262)
By Period
Ryan
Benn
P1
58.9%
54.3%
P2
62.8%
55.7%
P3
59.3%
58.1%
Final 5 min
51.6%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:01 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 2 | 02:18 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 1 | 02:27 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |