Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 51.5% vs Kotkaniemi 48.2% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Kotkaniemi leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 73.3%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 50.3%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 60.8%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Ryan
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
11
(18 meetings)
7
11
Ryan
Kotkaniemi
Last 10: Ryan 3-7 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
3
Ryan
Kotkaniemi
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Ryan
Kotkaniemi
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
4
Ryan
Kotkaniemi
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (245)
46.3% (467)
+8.0%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
55.7% (79)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (41)
100.0% (3)
-58.5%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +58.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Ryan is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (214).
Ryan shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Ryan
Kotkaniemi
Home
50.9% (167)
51.0% (243)
Away
53.5% (127)
45.4% (306)
By Period
Ryan
Kotkaniemi
P1
44.0%
48.8%
P2
61.7%
51.2%
P3
50.5%
42.2%
Final 5 min
54.2%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
52.0%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 09:59 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 3 | 19:52 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 2 | 03:19 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 12:44 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 08:14 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 08:14 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 08:19 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 13:41 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:52 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |