Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Kotkaniemi 51.3% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 75.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 89.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 65.6%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 89.2%
89.2%
10.8%
Ryan
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Ryan
Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
51.7% (586)
+9.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
48.1% (52)
+51.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
62.5% (8)
-16.3%
On power play, Ryan has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Ryan shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Ryan
Kotkaniemi
Home
56.7% (201)
49.5% (313)
Away
54.8% (208)
53.5% (333)
By Period
Ryan
Kotkaniemi
P1
56.7%
54.5%
P2
56.8%
51.1%
P3
53.7%
49.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 16:30 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |