Derek Ryan vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Kotkaniemi 49.2% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Kotkaniemi leads 18-17 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 62.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 72.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 51.3%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Ryan
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
18
(35 meetings)
17
18
Ryan
Kotkaniemi
Last 10: Ryan 5-5 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
4
8
Ryan
Kotkaniemi
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
6
4
Ryan
Kotkaniemi
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
7
6
Ryan
Kotkaniemi
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
49.0% (3,852)
+7.6%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
51.3% (351)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
45.7% (35)
+2.1%
On even strength, Ryan has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,454).
Home / Away
Ryan
Kotkaniemi
Home
56.2% (2,559)
49.7% (2,197)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
48.7% (2,041)
By Period
Ryan
Kotkaniemi
P1
55.1%
49.9%
P2
54.7%
50.4%
P3
56.0%
47.2%
OT
58.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 08:20 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 06:39 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 02:30 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 16:30 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 10:31 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 14:07 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 14:02 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 01:29 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 06:19 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 09:59 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 3 | 19:52 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 2 | 03:19 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 12:44 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 08:14 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 08:14 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |