Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Kotkaniemi 50.9% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 75.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 78.6%
Neutral zone
Ryan 56.3%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Ryan
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Ryan
Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Ryan
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
49.8% (309)
+10.4%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
64.5% (31)
-35.9%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
50.0% (4)
-6.8%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +35.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (131).
Home / Away
Ryan
Kotkaniemi
Home
56.7% (254)
51.7% (203)
Away
55.0% (258)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Ryan
Kotkaniemi
P1
56.9%
49.5%
P2
51.7%
50.4%
P3
59.2%
53.8%
Final 5 min
53.6%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 01:29 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 06:19 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |