Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Duchene 52.8% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 84.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 91.3%
Neutral zone
Ryan 74.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Ryan
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Ryan
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Ryan
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
46.9% (162)
+13.3%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
73.2% (56)
-44.6%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
100.0% (2)
-56.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +56.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Ryan
Duchene
Home
56.7% (254)
58.4% (125)
Away
55.0% (258)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Ryan
Duchene
P1
56.9%
56.9%
P2
51.7%
52.5%
P3
59.2%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2021 | 3 | 12:42 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |