Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Duchene 52.1% (-2.9%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 85.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 86.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 53.5%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Ryan
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
53.9% (193)
-3.0%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
49.2% (65)
+25.8%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
100.0% (1)
-54.7%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +54.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Ryan shoots right. Duchene is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Ryan
Duchene
Home
53.7% (214)
54.9% (113)
Away
46.4% (220)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Ryan
Duchene
P1
45.0%
54.9%
P2
50.0%
52.7%
P3
54.6%
51.9%
Final 5 min
45.3%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%