Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Ryan wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Schmaltz 42.4% (+13.1%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 69.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 97.6%
Neutral zone
Ryan 93.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 87.0%
87.0%
13.0%
Ryan
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Ryan
Schmaltz
Last 10: Ryan 7-3 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Ryan
Schmaltz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
5
2
Ryan
Schmaltz
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
41.1% (3,218)
+15.5%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
47.3% (637)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
47.2% (125)
+0.6%
On even strength, Ryan has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Ryan shoots right. Schmaltz is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
Home / Away
Ryan
Schmaltz
Home
56.2% (2,559)
42.7% (1,978)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
41.8% (2,002)
By Period
Ryan
Schmaltz
P1
55.1%
41.1%
P2
54.7%
42.6%
P3
56.0%
43.0%
OT
58.3%
42.4%
Final 5 min
52.5%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 05:27 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 03:19 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 3 | 09:01 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 16:51 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 14:18 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 06:35 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 17:19 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 12:50 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 15:06 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 05:16 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |