Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Schmaltz 45.0% (+10.0%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 82.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 86.0%
Neutral zone
Ryan 50.4%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Ryan
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
37.7% (53)
+13.2%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
40.9% (44)
+34.1%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
66.7% (3)
-21.4%
On power play, Ryan has a +34.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Ryan is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Ryan shoots right. Schmaltz is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Ryan
Schmaltz
Home
53.7% (214)
34.7% (49)
Away
46.4% (220)
45.1% (51)
By Period
Ryan
Schmaltz
P1
45.0%
25.9%
P2
50.0%
46.2%
P3
54.6%
42.1%
Final 5 min
45.3%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%