Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 63.2% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+14.7%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 79.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 84.6%
Neutral zone
Ryan 59.5%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Ryan
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
38.5% (309)
+22.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
53.2% (79)
+46.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
25.0% (12)
+21.2%
On power play, Ryan has a +46.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Ryan is 63.2% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Ryan shoots right. Schmaltz is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Ryan
Schmaltz
Home
56.7% (201)
38.0% (184)
Away
54.8% (208)
43.5% (216)
By Period
Ryan
Schmaltz
P1
56.7%
40.3%
P2
56.8%
39.9%
P3
53.7%
40.7%
Final 5 min
56.1%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%