Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Schmaltz 49.4% (+11.2%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 76.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 82.5%
Neutral zone
Ryan 50.6%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Ryan
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
48.1% (268)
+13.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.5% (91)
+49.5%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
58.8% (17)
-7.1%
On power play, Ryan has a +49.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Ryan is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Ryan shoots right. Schmaltz is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
Ryan
Schmaltz
Home
64.2% (137)
49.0% (206)
Away
55.8% (113)
49.4% (170)
By Period
Ryan
Schmaltz
P1
58.9%
53.6%
P2
62.8%
46.2%
P3
59.3%
50.4%
Final 5 min
51.6%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%