Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.2% vs Hintz 53.4% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 55.4%
Defensive zone
Ryan 78.3%
Neutral zone
Ryan 78.1%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Ryan
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Ryan
Hintz
Last 7: Ryan 6-1 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Hintz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
4
0
Ryan
Hintz
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (594)
54.2% (336)
+4.9%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
56.8% (44)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (107)
50.0% (20)
+7.9%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Ryan is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Ryan shoots right. Hintz is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Ryan
Hintz
Home
57.0% (398)
57.3% (232)
Away
59.5% (358)
50.0% (168)
By Period
Ryan
Hintz
P1
56.2%
53.3%
P2
56.9%
51.2%
P3
61.1%
58.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
58.2%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2019 | 3 | 07:26 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 1 | 13:26 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 2 | 13:45 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 1 | 04:46 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |