Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Hintz 52.6% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 82.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 84.6%
Neutral zone
Ryan 55.8%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Ryan
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Ryan
Hintz
Last 5: Ryan 2-3 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
2
Ryan
Hintz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
52.9% (526)
+7.3%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
57.4% (108)
-28.8%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
42.5% (40)
+0.7%
On power play, Hintz has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Hintz is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Ryan
Hintz
Home
56.7% (254)
53.8% (329)
Away
55.0% (258)
52.2% (345)
By Period
Ryan
Hintz
P1
56.9%
55.6%
P2
51.7%
53.0%
P3
59.2%
51.7%
OT
0.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
53.6%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 11:40 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |