Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.7% vs 56.2%). Ryan wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Hintz 55.3% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 91.2%
Defensive zone
Ryan 77.0%
Neutral zone
Hintz 53.4%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Ryan
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Ryan
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Hintz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
56.3% (512)
+4.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
63.3% (30)
+36.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
45.8% (24)
+0.4%
On power play, Ryan has a +36.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Ryan shoots right. Hintz is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Home / Away
Ryan
Hintz
Home
56.7% (201)
57.3% (262)
Away
54.8% (208)
55.3% (304)
By Period
Ryan
Hintz
P1
56.7%
54.8%
P2
56.8%
56.0%
P3
53.7%
57.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 13:38 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 17:58 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |