Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Hintz 53.5% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 61.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 78.6%
Neutral zone
Ryan 71.9%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Ryan
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Ryan
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
0
Ryan
Hintz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
53.6% (711)
+7.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
53.8% (93)
+46.2%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
58.7% (46)
-7.0%
On power play, Ryan has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Ryan shoots right. Hintz is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Ryan
Hintz
Home
64.2% (137)
52.6% (460)
Away
55.8% (113)
55.4% (390)
By Period
Ryan
Hintz
P1
58.9%
59.0%
P2
62.8%
52.7%
P3
59.3%
51.1%
Final 5 min
51.6%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:22 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:16 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |