Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Johansen 52.4% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 61.3%
Defensive zone
Ryan 91.3%
Neutral zone
Ryan 72.3%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Ryan
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Ryan
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
49.4% (1,010)
+10.8%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
62.3% (236)
-33.7%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
67.2% (67)
-24.0%
On power play, Johansen has a +33.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Ryan is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Ryan shoots right. Johansen is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Ryan
Johansen
Home
56.7% (254)
54.7% (655)
Away
55.0% (258)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Ryan
Johansen
P1
56.9%
52.2%
P2
51.7%
50.7%
P3
59.2%
54.8%
OT
0.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
53.6%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 16:58 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 14:48 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |