Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Johansen 58.2% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 59.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 89.6%
Neutral zone
Ryan 71.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Ryan
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Ryan
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Ryan
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Ryan
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
59.8% (625)
-8.9%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
58.2% (196)
+16.8%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
51.9% (27)
-6.6%
On power play, Ryan has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Ryan is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Ryan shoots right. Johansen is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Ryan
Johansen
Home
53.7% (214)
60.3% (436)
Away
46.4% (220)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Ryan
Johansen
P1
45.0%
61.3%
P2
50.0%
60.4%
P3
54.6%
56.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 10:14 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |