Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). Ryan wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Johansen 53.3% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 70.4%
Defensive zone
Ryan 56.2%
Neutral zone
Johansen 50.2%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Ryan
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
15
(25 meetings)
10
15
Ryan
Johansen
Last 10: Ryan 4-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
4
7
Ryan
Johansen
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
6
Ryan
Johansen
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
2
Ryan
Johansen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
53.1% (11,017)
+3.5%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
56.2% (2,163)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
50.5% (978)
-2.7%
On even strength, Ryan has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Ryan shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Home / Away
Ryan
Johansen
Home
56.2% (2,559)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Ryan
Johansen
P1
55.1%
53.2%
P2
54.7%
53.9%
P3
56.0%
52.8%
OT
58.3%
58.2%
Final 5 min
52.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 10:14 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 16:58 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 14:48 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 05:43 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 31, 2019 | 1 | 05:46 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 31, 2019 | 1 | 05:33 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 2 | 14:23 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 2 | 10:52 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 1 | 11:38 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 11:47 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |