Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 63.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Johansen 52.8% (+2.6%)
Offensive zone
Johansen 76.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 75.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 57.5%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Ryan
Johansen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
51.9% (597)
+8.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
57.9% (133)
+42.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
54.3% (81)
-8.1%
On power play, Ryan has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Ryan is 63.2% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Ryan shoots right. Johansen is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Ryan
Johansen
Home
56.7% (201)
55.8% (387)
Away
54.8% (208)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Ryan
Johansen
P1
56.7%
50.0%
P2
56.8%
56.2%
P3
53.7%
52.6%
Final 5 min
56.1%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%