Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Lafferty 43.5% (+14.8%)
Offensive zone
Ryan 52.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 64.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 50.6%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Ryan
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
40.9% (232)
+19.3%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
100.0% (1)
-71.4%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
40.0% (30)
+3.2%
On power play, Lafferty has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Ryan is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Ryan shoots right. Lafferty is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
Ryan
Lafferty
Home
56.7% (254)
38.2% (123)
Away
55.0% (258)
43.6% (140)
By Period
Ryan
Lafferty
P1
56.9%
41.6%
P2
51.7%
36.7%
P3
59.2%
45.5%
Final 5 min
53.6%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
41.1%