Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Lafferty 50.9% (-1.1%)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 53.4%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 50.4%
Neutral zone
Ryan 52.7%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Ryan
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
52.2% (366)
-1.3%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
60.0% (15)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
46.2% (104)
-0.9%
On power play, Ryan has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Ryan is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Ryan shoots right. Lafferty is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Home / Away
Ryan
Lafferty
Home
53.7% (214)
53.1% (258)
Away
46.4% (220)
48.9% (227)
By Period
Ryan
Lafferty
P1
45.0%
52.5%
P2
50.0%
49.7%
P3
54.6%
51.3%
Final 5 min
45.3%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%