Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Lafferty 50.4% (+9.8%)
Offensive zone
Ryan 53.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 58.3%
Neutral zone
Ryan 53.7%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Ryan
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
50.7% (144)
+10.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.0% (2)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
50.0% (10)
+1.7%
On power play, Ryan has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Ryan is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Ryan shoots right. Lafferty is 65.2% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Ryan
Lafferty
Home
64.2% (137)
53.2% (62)
Away
55.8% (113)
48.9% (94)
By Period
Ryan
Lafferty
P1
58.9%
53.3%
P2
62.8%
46.7%
P3
59.3%
52.8%
Final 5 min
51.6%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
50.6%