Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.2% vs Steel 49.4% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 58.2%
Defensive zone
Ryan 56.7%
Neutral zone
Steel 50.2%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Ryan
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Ryan
Steel
Last 9: Ryan 4-5 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Ryan
Steel
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Ryan
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (594)
49.5% (204)
+9.6%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
57.1% (7)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (107)
33.3% (9)
+24.6%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Ryan is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Ryan shoots right. Steel is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (78).
Home / Away
Ryan
Steel
Home
57.0% (398)
53.2% (77)
Away
59.5% (358)
46.9% (143)
By Period
Ryan
Steel
P1
56.2%
45.5%
P2
56.9%
49.4%
P3
61.1%
52.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
58.2%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2019 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 3, 2019 | 3 | 03:16 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 3, 2019 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 3, 2019 | 1 | 15:38 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Apr 3, 2019 | 1 | 11:51 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 16:09 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 2 | 13:25 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 2 | 08:13 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 2 | 08:10 | Offensive | Sam Steel |