Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Steel 48.8% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 79.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 72.9%
Neutral zone
Steel 56.8%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Ryan
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Ryan
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
3
Ryan
Steel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
49.5% (553)
+1.4%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
61.3% (31)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
30.6% (49)
+14.7%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Ryan shoots right. Steel is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Ryan
Steel
Home
53.7% (214)
46.4% (347)
Away
46.4% (220)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Ryan
Steel
P1
45.0%
52.1%
P2
50.0%
49.8%
P3
54.6%
45.2%
Final 5 min
45.3%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 05:08 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 03:50 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 10:16 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 06:48 | Offensive | Sam Steel |