Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Steel 52.8% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 55.3%
Defensive zone
Ryan 51.2%
Neutral zone
Steel 52.7%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Ryan
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Ryan
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Ryan
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
56.9% (320)
+4.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
71.4% (7)
+28.6%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
37.0% (73)
+14.7%
On power play, Ryan has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Ryan shoots right. Steel is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Ryan
Steel
Home
64.2% (137)
55.9% (202)
Away
55.8% (113)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Ryan
Steel
P1
58.9%
55.5%
P2
62.8%
55.1%
P3
59.3%
50.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:14 | Defensive | Sam Steel |