Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Steel 46.6% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 69.3%
Defensive zone
Ryan 72.6%
Neutral zone
Ryan 55.0%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Ryan
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Ryan
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
44.6% (177)
+16.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
66.7% (3)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
44.8% (29)
+1.4%
On power play, Ryan has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Ryan shoots right. Steel is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Ryan
Steel
Home
56.7% (201)
46.7% (90)
Away
54.8% (208)
43.7% (119)
By Period
Ryan
Steel
P1
56.7%
47.8%
P2
56.8%
47.0%
P3
53.7%
41.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 06:02 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 02:26 | Offensive | Sam Steel |