Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Steel 49.4% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 73.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 74.1%
Neutral zone
Steel 51.9%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Ryan
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Ryan
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Ryan
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
49.3% (383)
+10.9%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
59.1% (22)
-30.5%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
14.3% (7)
+28.9%
On power play, Steel has a +30.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Steel is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Ryan
Steel
Home
56.7% (254)
49.4% (180)
Away
55.0% (258)
49.1% (232)
By Period
Ryan
Steel
P1
56.9%
51.9%
P2
51.7%
43.8%
P3
59.2%
52.6%
Final 5 min
53.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 02:08 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 14:59 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:54 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |