Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Monahan 52.8% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 75.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 83.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 57.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Ryan
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Ryan
Monahan
Last 10: Ryan 5-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
4
Ryan
Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
51.5% (641)
+8.7%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
62.8% (129)
-34.2%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
33.3% (9)
+9.9%
On power play, Monahan has a +34.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Monahan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Ryan
Monahan
Home
56.7% (254)
53.9% (362)
Away
55.0% (258)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Ryan
Monahan
P1
56.9%
48.0%
P2
51.7%
57.0%
P3
59.2%
54.1%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 19:10 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 11:46 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 01:03 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 18:23 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 18:25 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 17:29 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 01:52 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |