Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.7% vs 54.9%). Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Ryan wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Monahan 54.5% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 71.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 78.1%
Neutral zone
Ryan 54.4%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Ryan
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Ryan
Monahan
Last 9: Ryan 2-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
5
Ryan
Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Ryan
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
57.1% (871)
+3.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
53.1% (262)
+46.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
44.6% (139)
+1.6%
On power play, Ryan has a +46.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Ryan shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Ryan
Monahan
Home
56.7% (201)
55.3% (644)
Away
54.8% (208)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Ryan
Monahan
P1
56.7%
53.9%
P2
56.8%
55.3%
P3
53.7%
54.4%
Final 5 min
56.1%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 03:54 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 14:07 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 17:16 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:46 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |