Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Monahan 53.9% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 70.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 79.8%
Neutral zone
Ryan 52.6%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Ryan
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Ryan
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Ryan
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
54.5% (231)
-3.6%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
58.2% (67)
+16.8%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
52.2% (23)
-6.9%
On power play, Ryan has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Ryan shoots right. Monahan is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Ryan
Monahan
Home
53.7% (214)
53.5% (144)
Away
46.4% (220)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Ryan
Monahan
P1
45.0%
52.5%
P2
50.0%
50.9%
P3
54.6%
60.8%
Final 5 min
45.3%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 11:07 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 18:01 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 16:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |