Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Monahan 52.4% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 61.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 68.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 57.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Ryan
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Ryan
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Ryan
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Ryan
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
52.4% (853)
+9.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
58.6% (174)
+41.4%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
46.5% (144)
+5.2%
On power play, Ryan has a +41.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Ryan shoots right. Monahan is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Ryan
Monahan
Home
64.2% (137)
53.4% (624)
Away
55.8% (113)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Ryan
Monahan
P1
58.9%
53.7%
P2
62.8%
52.4%
P3
59.3%
51.6%
Final 5 min
51.6%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 06:51 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 01:36 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |