Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 21 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Crosby 53.5% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 31-22 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 70.3%
Defensive zone
Ryan 74.4%
Neutral zone
Ryan 60.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Ryan
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
31
(53 meetings)
22
31
Ryan
Crosby
Last 10: Ryan 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
17
Ryan
Crosby
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
9
5
Ryan
Crosby
14 total
Neutral Zone
Even
9
9
Ryan
Crosby
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
52.8% (17,990)
+3.8%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
57.4% (4,733)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
47.1% (765)
+0.7%
On power play, Crosby has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,656).
Home / Away
Ryan
Crosby
Home
56.2% (2,559)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Ryan
Crosby
P1
55.1%
53.6%
P2
54.7%
53.9%
P3
56.0%
53.3%
OT
58.3%
49.6%
Final 5 min
52.5%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 14:59 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 16:23 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 18:12 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 04:49 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 16:15 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 05:26 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 05:39 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 2 | 08:42 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |