Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Crosby 52.8% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 94.2%
Defensive zone
Ryan 69.1%
Neutral zone
Crosby 69.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Ryan
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Ryan
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
0
Ryan
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
52.5% (1,443)
-1.6%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
54.7% (369)
+20.3%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
55.9% (34)
-10.6%
On power play, Ryan has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Ryan shoots right. Crosby is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Ryan
Crosby
Home
53.7% (214)
53.0% (931)
Away
46.4% (220)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Ryan
Crosby
P1
45.0%
50.3%
P2
50.0%
55.4%
P3
54.6%
53.3%
Final 5 min
45.3%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 18:12 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |