Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Crosby 57.8% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 85.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 90.5%
Neutral zone
Ryan 62.2%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Ryan
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Ryan
Crosby
Last 5: Ryan 2-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Ryan
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
57.8% (1,437)
+3.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
60.9% (381)
+39.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
50.0% (54)
-3.8%
On power play, Ryan has a +39.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Ryan shoots right. Crosby is 59.5% vs right-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Ryan
Crosby
Home
56.7% (201)
59.2% (985)
Away
54.8% (208)
57.2% (887)
By Period
Ryan
Crosby
P1
56.7%
57.3%
P2
56.8%
59.5%
P3
53.7%
58.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 16:23 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |