Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Crosby 56.6% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 78.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 76.9%
Neutral zone
Ryan 51.3%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 78.9%
21.1%
78.9%
Ryan
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Ryan
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Ryan
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
56.2% (1,451)
+5.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
61.4% (293)
+38.6%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
55.3% (38)
-3.6%
On power play, Ryan has a +38.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Ryan shoots right. Crosby is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Ryan
Crosby
Home
64.2% (137)
59.1% (939)
Away
55.8% (113)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Ryan
Crosby
P1
58.9%
54.9%
P2
62.8%
60.8%
P3
59.3%
55.4%
Final 5 min
51.6%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 14:59 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |