Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Crosby 52.3% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 83.3%
Defensive zone
Ryan 79.8%
Neutral zone
Ryan 52.7%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Ryan
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Ryan
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Ryan
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Ryan
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
50.8% (1,169)
+9.4%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
60.2% (261)
-31.6%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
45.0% (20)
-1.8%
On power play, Crosby has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Crosby is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (521).
Home / Away
Ryan
Crosby
Home
56.7% (254)
53.2% (726)
Away
55.0% (258)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Ryan
Crosby
P1
56.9%
51.3%
P2
51.7%
52.1%
P3
59.2%
54.1%
OT
0.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
53.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 04:49 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |