Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +24.0% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Lorentz 46.6% (+24.0%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 51.3%
Defensive zone
Ryan 62.3%
Neutral zone
Ryan 54.1%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Ryan
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
30.8% (26)
+30.6%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
57.1% (7)
-5.4%
On even strength, Ryan has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Ryan shoots right. Lorentz is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Home / Away
Ryan
Lorentz
Home
64.2% (137)
35.0% (20)
Away
55.8% (113)
38.5% (13)
By Period
Ryan
Lorentz
P1
58.9%
38.5%
P2
62.8%
37.5%
P3
59.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
36.4%