Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 52.0% vs Nosek 50.1% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 62.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 79.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 80.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Ryan
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Ryan
Nosek
Last 10: Ryan 7-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
Ryan
Nosek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
5
0
Ryan
Nosek
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
2
Ryan
Nosek
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (603)
51.2% (377)
+2.9%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
50.0% (10)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (85)
41.3% (46)
+4.6%
On power play, Nosek has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Ryan is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (511).
Ryan shoots right. Nosek is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Ryan
Nosek
Home
52.5% (341)
48.3% (240)
Away
52.2% (391)
52.3% (193)
By Period
Ryan
Nosek
P1
56.0%
48.4%
P2
48.1%
51.4%
P3
52.8%
50.8%
Final 5 min
47.5%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
52.3%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 04:46 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 17:22 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 05:24 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 3 | 12:32 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 2 | 19:10 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 2 | 01:57 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 2 | 01:39 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 1 | 03:17 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |