Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Nosek 51.4% (+3.8%)
Offensive zone
Nosek 70.4%
Defensive zone
Ryan 80.8%
Neutral zone
Ryan 54.5%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Ryan
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
54.4% (215)
+6.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
23.5% (17)
+22.7%
On power play, Ryan has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Ryan shoots right. Nosek is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Ryan
Nosek
Home
56.7% (201)
50.4% (127)
Away
54.8% (208)
53.8% (106)
By Period
Ryan
Nosek
P1
56.7%
51.4%
P2
56.8%
51.3%
P3
53.7%
53.2%
Final 5 min
56.1%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%