Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Nosek 58.0% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 79.2%
Defensive zone
Ryan 65.8%
Neutral zone
Ryan 59.2%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Ryan
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Ryan
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Ryan
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Ryan
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
59.7% (469)
-8.8%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
100.0% (4)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
56.5% (124)
-11.2%
On power play, Nosek has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Ryan shoots right. Nosek is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Ryan
Nosek
Home
53.7% (214)
59.0% (295)
Away
46.4% (220)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Ryan
Nosek
P1
45.0%
56.3%
P2
50.0%
61.9%
P3
54.6%
59.2%
Final 5 min
45.3%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 02:17 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |