Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Nosek 51.4% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 64.2%
Defensive zone
Nosek 50.6%
Neutral zone
Nosek 52.7%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Ryan
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Ryan
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Ryan
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
53.0% (400)
+8.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
33.3% (12)
+66.7%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
45.5% (44)
+6.2%
On power play, Ryan has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Ryan shoots right. Nosek is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Ryan
Nosek
Home
64.2% (137)
49.6% (244)
Away
55.8% (113)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Ryan
Nosek
P1
58.9%
53.1%
P2
62.8%
51.4%
P3
59.3%
51.1%
Final 5 min
51.6%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 14:15 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |