Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Nosek 53.4% (+2.0%)
Offensive zone
Nosek 51.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 50.1%
Neutral zone
Ryan 52.7%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Ryan
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
55.1% (557)
+5.1%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
50.0% (4)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
47.7% (111)
-4.5%
On power play, Nosek has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Nosek is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Ryan
Nosek
Home
56.7% (254)
52.3% (342)
Away
55.0% (258)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Ryan
Nosek
P1
56.9%
49.0%
P2
51.7%
53.8%
P3
59.2%
57.9%
Final 5 min
53.6%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%