Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Novak 45.0% (+17.7%)
Offensive zone
Novak 65.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 78.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 52.6%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Ryan
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
42.9% (198)
+18.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
40.9% (22)
+59.1%
On power play, Ryan has a +59.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Ryan shoots right. Novak is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Ryan
Novak
Home
64.2% (137)
40.9% (110)
Away
55.8% (113)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Ryan
Novak
P1
58.9%
39.1%
P2
62.8%
43.9%
P3
59.3%
44.9%
Final 5 min
51.6%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%