Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Batherson wins 35.3% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Batherson 47.6% vs Novak 46.5% (-2.1%)
Offensive zone
Batherson 54.3%
Defensive zone
Novak 57.9%
Neutral zone
Novak 53.4%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Batherson
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Batherson
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (39)
43.2% (118)
-2.2%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
47.8% (23)
-14.5%
On power play, Novak has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Batherson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Batherson shoots right. Novak is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (53).
Home / Away
Batherson
Novak
Home
57.1% (28)
50.7% (71)
Away
13.3% (15)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Batherson
Novak
P1
66.7%
44.7%
P2
43.8%
50.0%
P3
23.5%
38.9%
Final 5 min
46.2%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Batherson
48.0%▲
41.0%
41.9%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.0%