Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.3% vs 42.9%). Batherson wins 41.5% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Batherson 44.6% vs Novak 43.3% (-0.6%)
Offensive zone
Batherson 55.7%
Defensive zone
Novak 60.1%
Neutral zone
Batherson 56.6%
Result
Drake Batherson favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Batherson
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Batherson
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (219)
42.1% (1,539)
-1.0%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
51.9% (133)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (2)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Batherson has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Batherson is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Batherson shoots right. Novak is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Batherson
Novak
Home
46.8% (139)
45.3% (814)
Away
36.3% (102)
40.6% (860)
By Period
Batherson
Novak
P1
46.4%
43.9%
P2
44.0%
42.8%
P3
31.7%
41.7%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
37.5%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Batherson
48.0%▲
41.0%
42.3%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.9%