Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Batherson wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Batherson 45.6% vs Novak 43.5% (-1.3%)
Offensive zone
Novak 52.6%
Defensive zone
Novak 63.4%
Neutral zone
Batherson 54.7%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Batherson
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Batherson
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
40.5% (84)
40.7% (460)
-0.2%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
61.5% (39)
-17.1%
On power play, Novak has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Batherson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (69).
Batherson shoots right. Novak is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Batherson
Novak
Home
37.7% (61)
47.0% (236)
Away
46.9% (32)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Batherson
Novak
P1
45.5%
43.1%
P2
46.9%
43.1%
P3
28.6%
40.1%
Final 5 min
43.8%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Batherson
48.0%▲
41.0%
40.9%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.2%